Two Fed Members Voted to Hike. The 10-Year Still Fell to 4.93%.
Intel fell nearly 29% and took PC and chip stocks with it, while Amazon recovered most of its overnight drop. Exxon's refiners out-earned its oil fields, and crypto stocks fell far harder than bitcoin.
Intel beat and was indicated a quarter lower. Nasdaq futures fell 2.4% as Dow futures held flat. Binance estimated a $6.3 billion breach.
Alphabet lost about $500 billion and the Nasdaq fell 1.4% while the Russell 2000 rose 1.0%. Caterpillar beat and sank, and Amazon and Intel fell after the bell.
Alphabet and Microsoft both spent less than expected. Alphabet, which funded its spending with bonds and stock, was indicated about 10% lower; Microsoft about 3% higher. Software raised guidance and was indicated lower. Ceasefire bets rose as reports of a letter to Tehran spread. GDP and PCE land before the open.
The Fed held, and long yields rose while the 2-year fell. Vertiv jumped 16.5%, while F5 and Lennox grew sales and sank.
New Zealand skipped a hike markets had priced, hours before the Fed decides. SK hynix jumped 11% in Seoul while U.S.-listed hardware suppliers that beat slid. Crude rebuilt its war premium, and diesel didn't follow.
Boeing fell 10.7% and the Dow went nowhere, while chips lifted the Nasdaq 1.2%. Meta finished below its own offer price, and Fed hike bets fell by a third as the five-year auction drew more foreign demand.
Celestica's outlook nearly doubles revenue next year. Its cash forecast fell. Ceasefire bets rallied as Gulf attacks continued.
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AI's biggest spenders went to public investors for money, and their chip suppliers rallied. Brazil had its worst session since 2020 while most of emerging markets barely moved.
Lula won after markets and bettors leaned the other way, and the main Brazil ETF and its biggest ADRs fell by about a quarter early Monday. Brent slipped as regional envoys headed to Tehran. Fed week opens with a 2-year sale.
The Fed Speaks Wednesday. The 2-Year Already Moved 16 Basis Points.
Oil Hit a Five-Month High. The 10-Year Fell Below 5%.
Brent rose about 3% and the 10-year yield climbed back toward 5% as price gauges ran hot. The Dow fell 1.2%, and LKQ lost more than a fifth of its value.
Western Digital and Bloom Energy won back much of their after-hours losses. Brent pushed toward $115.
The cost of insuring Meta's debt hit a record as selling ran through chip-equipment and power stocks. The 10-year closed at 4.96% with Brent near $113, and October hike odds halved.
Four AI beats, four stocks pointing lower. Brent neared $112 overnight, and Treasuries rallied anyway.
Price set the tape on Wednesday. Treasury paid up to sell 20-year bonds and drew more real buyers, while AT&T sold off as its revenue per fiber customer slid.
SpaceX and Tesla formed committees to discuss a merger, with Musk recused. Super Micro’s sales estimate beat its own guidance by $4 billion. Credit hasn’t followed the rebound, and Brent is near $110.
Tuesday's tape priced the outlook, not the quarter. Brent swung $6 between a five-month high and an Iran report no government confirmed, and deals repriced four stocks.
Monday's chip rebound didn't survive Asia. GM beat, raised and slid before the open.
Chip stocks snapped an eight-day slide, and the 10-year yield rose with them. CoreWeave and bitcoin sat it out.
Brent slipped from its highest settle since May after Washington waived new Russia penalties. Nasdaq futures bounced after the index's worst week since June. Every major lender backed EQT's buyout of a waste company. Meta reports Wednesday.
