The Fed is to hike rates at 2pm into a 5% 10-year yield. Intel and SK Hynix are in talks to make memory chips in the US. WTI is pulling back after inventory data came in much higher than expected.
Crypto's biggest legislative moment in years ended in a Senate procedural defeat. WTI crossed $106. Bessent testified that his buyback program was successful while the 10-year sat above 5%.
The 10-year yield crossed 5% again overnight, now at its highest since 2007. Bessent testifies before Congress. The US seized $61 million in crypto linked to Iranian oil sales.
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The 10-year Treasury briefly topped 5% as AI fears split tech between chips and cybersecurity. Bank of America warned Q3 investment banking fees could fall more than 10%.
Anthropic, OpenAI, and xAI all called for slower AI development over the weekend. Saudi Arabia's bypass pipeline is closed after drone strikes. WTI is near $103. The Fed meets Tuesday.
A Chair Who Stripped Out Forward Guidance Has To Publish A Dot Plot Wednesday.
The Long End Broke First | CPI Split The Curve | Oil Turned On A Demand Cut | Copper Gave The Record Back
CPI came in at 3.4%. Hike odds jumped. Stocks rallied. Oil fell below $100. The session ran entirely on its own logic.
August CPI is in hand. Oracle jumped 6% after hours on a cloud beat. Bessent is sanctioning a major bank on Monday. The week ends with three live wires and one answer already on the tape.
Oil hit its highest close since May. Jensen Huang defended Nvidia's financing deals at Goldman's conference and the stock fell anyway. CPI lands tomorrow.
Brent crossed $104 a barrel and the 10-year Treasury yield pushed to its highest level since 2023, as the Iran war shows no sign of resolving on anyone's preferred timeline. A bigger Treasury buyback that still didn't stop yields, a chip giant's blowout quarter its own stock ignored, and an AI-datacenter IPO pricing revenue that mostly arrives in the 2030s.
Bessent said "I am the house now." The $6B buyback disappointed. Yields hit their highest since November 2023. Apple launched a foldable phone and fell. WTI near $96.
Treasury told the bond market three weeks ago that it would buy back twice as much long dated paper. Long yields fell that afternoon. The market has taken almost all of it back, and this afternoon the Treasury has to sell more paper into it.
GE is buying the company that makes its jet engine blades. Canada's retaliatory tariffs hit $20 billion of US goods. Amgen fell because Novartis's drug failed. WTI rose for the sixth straight session.
A report on the American copper market was due at the White House on the thirtieth of June. It never arrived. Traders shipped the metal in any way, and London set an all-time high on Monday.
Nearly 100 years of data say this month is different. This year it comes with real tests.
Waller Named His Number. It Prints Friday.
Two Fed Officials Took The September Hike Apart | The Chip Bill Came Due | Then Payrolls Answered
The economy added 162,000 jobs. Economists expected 53,000. Hike odds jumped to 60%. August CPI on September 11 is the only remaining input.
Fewer service firms cut staff in August than in July. The hiring line contracted anyway. Payrolls land at half past eight into a survey that has already answered the question.
Waller said he'd support a hold and the Dow jumped 600 points. Tesla reveals its Cybercab tonight. And Microsoft just reorganized its financials to tell you more about Azure while hiding everything that matters about it.
Broadcom's gross margin fell more than two points last quarter, and the company guided it lower again for this one. The reason is the memory stacked inside its own chips. Its chief executive spent the call asking the street to stop looking at that line.
NY Fed's No. 2 said there are no clear signs a hike is needed. That single comment reversed a three-day selloff. Lutnick confirmed chip tariffs are coming. Hormuz hit a war-time record.
