A trusted source for over 300k investors, traders, and quants who take their capital seriously.
Apr 3, 2026
•
11 min read
Three shocks, no breaks between them, and a Strait that still isn't open. Here's what actually happened this quarter, and what history says about what comes after quarters like this one.
Apr 2, 2026
The best week since November just ended on the worst oil day since 2020. Whatever you hold at 4pm, you hold through the weekend. Decide what that's worth before the last bell.
10 min read
Trump Speaks, Peace Rally Dies | Oil Surges Back | Nike's China Warning | Payrolls Into a Closed Market
Apr 1, 2026
Trump said the US exits Iran in two to three weeks. Stocks rallied. Factory inflation hit a four-year high on the same day. The relief trade and the supply shock cannot both be right.
9 min read
Trump signaled an exit from Iran. Wall Street closed Q1 up sharply. The Strait is still closed, and futures this morning price a shorter war, not an open Strait.
Mar 31, 2026
The Dow surged 1,000 points. The Nasdaq posted its best session since last May. The catalyst was a WSJ report. The market heard ceasefire. The report said something more complicated.
