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Apr 9, 2026
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9 min read
Yesterday the S&P ripped higher on the US-Iran ceasefire. WTI cratered. Delta surged. The market priced in a resolution. Then Iran's parliamentary speaker said three clauses were already violated. Futures are giving back a piece of that trade this morning. The Strait is still largely blocked.
Apr 8, 2026
10 min read
Oil crashed 16%. The Dow surged 1,200 points. The Fed warned of possible rate hikes. Markets priced rate cuts anyway. Same day.
Delta (DAL) reports before the bell this morning into the sharpest jet fuel environment since 2008. Crude just posted its biggest single-session collapse in over three decades. The ceasefire is two weeks long. The earnings Delta is about to print reflect a quarter where none of this relief existed.
Apr 7, 2026
Trump said a whole civilization will die tonight. Oil barely moved. Broadcom signed contracts. Arm got downgraded. The market is already separating what's protected from what isn't.
Humana jumped double digits after hours. UnitedHealth popped. CVS Health followed. CMS locked in a Medicare Advantage payment rate for 2027 that came in far higher than the near-flat increase proposed in January. The managed care sector repriced in minutes.
Apr 6, 2026
Iran rejected Trump's plan. Trump called it "a significant step" anyway. Oil stayed at $113. The market held, not out of confidence, but because nobody wants to bet before Tuesday night.
