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Archive

Oct 3, 2026

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6 min read

TRADERS & QUANTS - SATURDAY RECAP

The Long End Hit 2002 | October Left the Table | Diesel Became a Policy Call

Oct 2, 2026

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5 min read

29K Jobs Missed by 55K | Hike Bets Moved to December | G7 to Release 100M Barrels

October hike odds slipped on a weak jobs report, but December odds rose to 86% and the two-year closed higher. Diesel fell as the G7 moved to release reserves. Brent didn't.

Oct 2, 2026

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6 min read

Nike Down on China Warning | Carrier Heads to Gulf | Europe Taps Diesel Reserves

Nike guided for more sales declines and flagged China. The US is sending a third carrier to the Middle East with 10,000 troops. Europe held an emergency meeting to release diesel reserves. WTI is down nearly 4%. The jobs data this morning is set to test the rate narrative.

Oct 1, 2026

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5 min read

Two Fed Leaders Said Wait | Trump Said Inflation Can Pay the Debt | AI Buildings Got Charged

The two-year fell 10 basis points as Jefferson echoed Williams on patience. The 30-year fell 3 on the same day Trump said inflation can pay down the debt.

Oct 1, 2026

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5 min read

10-Year Hits 24-Year High | France in a Bond Rout | Google Released Gemini 4

The 10-year touched 5.338%, its highest since 2002. France's bond market is breaking down ahead of its budget. Google released its most advanced AI model. Chinese refiners reportedly halted October fuel exports.

Sep 30, 2026

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5 min read

Core PCE Held at 3.0% | Goldman Dropped October | Gulf Crude Is Back, Diesel Isn't

Core PCE came in at 3.0% against a 3.3% forecast, after the government cut July to the same rate. Goldman now calls an October hike unlikely. Gulf crude exports are back to 2025 levels, fuel shipments are at half, and the 10-year touched its highest since 2002.

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