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Traders & Quants

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TRADERS & QUANTS — SATURDAY RECAP

Apr 11, 2026

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12 min read

TRADERS & QUANTS — SATURDAY RECAP

The ceasefire landed Wednesday. Oil had its biggest crash since the Gulf War. Consumer sentiment hit a record low Friday. The market rallied all week on a deal Iran says is already broken.

CPI Report | Consumer Sentiment All-Time Low | Software Breaks

Apr 10, 2026

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9 min read

CPI Report | Consumer Sentiment All-Time Low | Software Breaks

Inflation printed its biggest monthly gain since 2022. Consumer sentiment just hit its lowest reading in 70 years. Both landed on the same day as the market's best week since November. One explains this week. The other explains what comes next.

CPI Lands Today | Fed Minutes Flash Two-Sided Risk | Ceasefire Talks Open in Islamabad | The Aerospace Name Nobody's Watching

Apr 10, 2026

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10 min read

CPI Lands Today | Fed Minutes Flash Two-Sided Risk | Ceasefire Talks Open in Islamabad | The Aerospace Name Nobody's Watching

The S&P 500 just posted its longest winning streak since October. Equities shrugged off rising oil, hawkish Fed minutes, and a ceasefire that's already fraying. Today's March CPI is the first reading that fully captures the Hormuz energy shock. The question isn't whether it's hot. It's whether core stayed contained while headline exploded.

PCE Lands Hot | Private Credit Cracks Wider | Retail Traders Didn’t Show Up

Apr 9, 2026

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9 min read

PCE Lands Hot | Private Credit Cracks Wider | Retail Traders Didn’t Show Up

The Fed's favorite inflation gauge ran hot before the war added anything. The S&P is up seven straight days. Retail investors barely showed up. This rally has legs. Just not retail legs.

Ceasefire Frays | Fed Minutes Float Hikes | Hormuz Still Blocked | Howmet's Quiet Bet

Apr 9, 2026

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9 min read

Ceasefire Frays | Fed Minutes Float Hikes | Hormuz Still Blocked | Howmet's Quiet Bet

Yesterday the S&P ripped higher on the US-Iran ceasefire. WTI cratered. Delta surged. The market priced in a resolution. Then Iran's parliamentary speaker said three clauses were already violated. Futures are giving back a piece of that trade this morning. The Strait is still largely blocked.

Ceasefire Trades | Delta Beat on a Brutal Quarter | The Fed Said Both Things at Once

Apr 8, 2026

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10 min read

Ceasefire Trades | Delta Beat on a Brutal Quarter | The Fed Said Both Things at Once

Oil crashed 16%. The Dow surged 1,200 points. The Fed warned of possible rate hikes. Markets priced rate cuts anyway. Same day.

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