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Traders & Quants

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TRADERS & QUANTS — SATURDAY RECAP

Mar 21, 2026

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11 min read

TRADERS & QUANTS — SATURDAY RECAP

The Fed formalized stagflation without using the word. Washington turned an oil infrastructure strike into a deterrence play — then spent the week hoping Tehran believed it. Two earnings reports measured exactly how far the damage has already traveled.

Rate Hike Odds Enter the Room | Small Caps Break | LNG Widens Its Lead

Mar 20, 2026

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10 min read

Rate Hike Odds Enter the Room | Small Caps Break | LNG Widens Its Lead

Rate cuts aren’t just getting pushed out, the market is starting to question if they happen at all, as inflation pressure holds, yields climb, and every traditional safety trade fails to show up.

WTI Higher After Netanyahu | The Next Fed Debate Is a Hike | FedEx Beats the Shock | The Strait Hasn’t Moved

Mar 20, 2026

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9 min read

WTI Higher After Netanyahu | The Next Fed Debate Is a Hike | FedEx Beats the Shock | The Strait Hasn’t Moved

FedEx beat and raised guidance again last night. The Strait stayed closed. A month ago the market was pricing two Fed cuts by year-end. This morning it is debating a hike. These are not separate stories. They are the same stagflation trade showing up through freight, rates, and energy.

LNG Damage Spreads | Copper Cracks | Banks Get Relief | Housing Feels the Squeeze

Mar 19, 2026

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8 min read

LNG Damage Spreads | Copper Cracks | Banks Get Relief | Housing Feels the Squeeze

The market stopped pricing delay and started pricing damage. Qatar’s LNG losses now look structural, copper is flashing slower growth, and looser bank rules arrive just as higher rates squeeze housing.

Fed Holds, Tape Sells | Brent Hits $114 | Micron's $33B Gets No Credit | Gold Breaks Down

Mar 19, 2026

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10 min read

Fed Holds, Tape Sells | Brent Hits $114 | Micron's $33B Gets No Credit | Gold Breaks Down

Micron delivered a blockbuster quarter and the stock still got hit. The Fed held steady, Powell stayed cautious, and markets treated the message as no near-term relief. Oil kept climbing overnight, gold broke lower, and the tape is still trading like the energy shock matters more than the policy hold.

Fed Holds Steady | Consumer Credit Cracks | Micron on Deck

Mar 18, 2026

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10 min read

Fed Holds Steady | Consumer Credit Cracks | Micron on Deck

The Fed kept rates where they were. Oil ignored the memo entirely. Private credit stress reached consumer-credit exposure, and Micron steps up tonight to defend the AI hardware trade.

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