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ASML Beats, Drops on China | Nasdaq's Record Streak | Hormuz Closed, Oil Falling | Netflix Reports Tonight

Apr 16, 2026

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5 min read

ASML Beats, Drops on China | Nasdaq's Record Streak | Hormuz Closed, Oil Falling | Netflix Reports Tonight

The ceasefire clock is what matters now. Five days left. ASML beat every number, raised guidance, and dropped. That's not an earnings miss. That's the market telling you China exposure is the new discount rate for semis.

Rally Chases the Deal | Tech Extends | Policy Risk Creeps Back

Apr 15, 2026

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5 min read

Rally Chases the Deal | Tech Extends | Policy Risk Creeps Back

The S&P is now within 0.1% of its high. Tech is still leading. But under the surface, positioning, not fundamentals, is driving the move.

ASML Beats, Drops | Meta's Custom Chip Bet | Oil Fades on Talk of Talks | The Ceasefire Expires Next Week

Apr 15, 2026

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9 min read

ASML Beats, Drops | Meta's Custom Chip Bet | Oil Fades on Talk of Talks | The Ceasefire Expires Next Week

The S&P is one session from its all-time high. ASML raised its full-year outlook this morning. Revenue beat. Margins hit the top of guidance. The stock dropped. The AI demand story is confirmed. The market already knew.

PPI Missed | Banks Beat and Fell | Physical Oil Is $133

Apr 14, 2026

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10 min read

PPI Missed | Banks Beat and Fell | Physical Oil Is $133

Pipeline inflation came in at half the expected rate. Physical oil is trading $34 above futures. The market is approaching all-time highs on data it hasn't fully read yet.

Goldman's War Quarter | Software Breaks Then Holds | Oil Fades Into the Blockade | Dimon Before the Bell

Apr 14, 2026

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10 min read

Goldman's War Quarter | Software Breaks Then Holds | Oil Fades Into the Blockade | Dimon Before the Bell

The S&P erased its war decline. The blockade went into effect the same morning. Those two facts haven't collided yet. Goldman Sachs posted its second-best revenue quarter in history on Monday. Record equities trading. Advisory nearly doubled from a year ago. The stock still dropped before the open. That disconnect is the template for this earnings season.

Goldman Missed | Software Snaps Back | Iran Can Wait

Apr 13, 2026

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9 min read

Goldman Missed | Software Snaps Back | Iran Can Wait

Goldman beat earnings and fell anyway. Software had its best day in a year. Trump said 34 ships crossed Hormuz. The market found its footing. The blockade is still live.

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