Yesterday’s selloff did not fracture markets. It forced a second look at what investors had been taking for granted.

Indexes pulled back but held structure. Credit stayed functional. Liquidity cleared without strain. What changed was where pressure traveled.

The market stopped at the equity layer yesterday. This morning it is testing what sits behind it.

Overnight action reflects that shift.

Asia followed the U.S. software selloff lower, with Japan, India, and Australia all seeing pressure in IT services and data-heavy names. 

Europe extended declines in legal, data, and information providers. Futures in the U.S. are modestly firmer, but without urgency.

Gold and silver rebounded sharply after last week’s violent unwind, reinforcing that the prior move was driven by leverage and positioning rather than a sudden return to fear. 

The dollar is steady. Rates remain composed.

The tone is not defensive. It is forensic.

This is still a market that is invested. But it is increasingly unwilling to subsidize assumptions about growth durability, recurring revenue, or time to payoff.

The open will matter less for direction than for confirmation. Today’s tape will show whether yesterday’s software shock remains a sector story or continues to migrate into financing, sponsorship, and structure.

Trade Implication

Early stabilization should not be confused with relief.

Trades that clear after assumptions have been challenged can extend.

Trades that depend on confidence rather than proof will keep losing sponsorship.

Time is no longer free.

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What moved markets yesterday was not Anthropic’s product launch. It was what that launch forced investors to confront.

Enterprise software has been treated as stable, recurring, and defensible. That assumption is now being re-underwritten in real time.

Once disruption risk becomes credible at scale, the question shifts from growth rates to durability.

That is why pressure did not stop with public equities.

Private equity managers, private credit platforms, and alternative vehicles with heavy software exposure sold off alongside the stocks. This was not about liquidity stress. It was about whether “safe” yield is actually insulated from disruption.

When a business model is questioned, the financing built on top of it is repriced.

That is the mechanism at work.

The same process is unfolding inside AI itself.

The market is no longer rewarding exposure to “AI spend” in the abstract. It is distinguishing between who captures demand and who absorbs the risk of timing.

AMD’s results highlighted that tension. Revenue growth remains strong, but expectations had already priced perfection. Super Micro’s strength reflected something different: proximity to physical throughput and visible delivery rather than abstract platform economics.

Across assets, the pattern is consistent.

The market is moving away from underwriting narratives and toward underwriting mechanics.

Execution Bias

This is not a collapse in AI enthusiasm.

It is a repricing of who bears disruption risk and how fast returns must arrive.

Exposure still works, but only when durability can be defended without optimism.

The macro signal continues to express itself through dispersion.

Software and IT services remain under pressure globally. Selling is deliberate and layered, not panicked.

Chips and infrastructure-linked names are holding better, but valuations are being audited trade by trade.

Crypto remains offered. Volatility reflects leverage and premium compression rather than a breakdown in belief.

Precious metals are stabilizing, but their behavior still reflects speculative positioning rather than pure haven demand.

Outside of technology, capital is rotating toward businesses with shorter feedback loops.

Consumption-linked names, logistics, and energy-adjacent flows are attracting sponsorship because cash conversion is easier to model.

Rates, FX, and credit remain calm. Liquidity is present. What has changed is tolerance.

Weak structures are no longer being carried simply because conditions are benign.

Execution Bias

Broad exposure still functions, but leadership is turning faster.

Trades built on stretched assumptions are being challenged earlier.

Responsiveness now matters more than conviction.

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© 2026 Boardwalk Flock LLC. All Rights Reserved. 2382 Camino Vida Roble, Suite I Carlsbad, CA 92011, United States. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate. Readers acknowledge that the authors are not engaging in the rendering of legal, financial, medical, or professional advice. The reader agrees that under no circumstances Boardwalk Flock, LLC is responsible for any losses, direct or indirect, which are incurred as a result of the use of the information contained within this, including, but not limited to, errors, omissions, or inaccuracies. Results may not be typical and may vary from person to person. Making money trading digital currencies takes time and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk.

Policy is influencing markets through execution risk, not rhetoric.

In Washington, data disruptions from the recent shutdown are already forcing investors to rely on unofficial indicators. 

Markets are not reacting with volatility, but they are discounting anything that depends on clean, continuous data flow.

Geopolitically, de-escalation and friction are arriving together.

The U.S. and Iran are returning to nuclear talks in Oman, narrowing the agenda and reopening a diplomatic pathway. 

At the same time, drone incidents and tanker encounters remind markets that physical risk in critical chokepoints has not disappeared.

Energy markets are responding accordingly. Risk premium is being marked down where diplomacy reappears, but insurance, routing, and security costs remain elevated.

Probability is improving. Operability remains constrained.

Elsewhere, state involvement in strategic assets continues to expand. From critical minerals to ports and supply chains, governments are prioritizing control over efficiency. 

Markets are treating these moves as structural inputs rather than policy surprises.

Trade Implication

Policy should be treated as a standing constraint, not a shock variable.

Size exposure with less forgiveness where outcomes rely on smooth execution, uninterrupted data, or assumed geopolitical calm.

The deeper shift underway is who carries timing risk.

In software, it shows up in multiple compression before revenue declines.

In private credit, it shows up in refinancing sensitivity rather than defaults.

In AI infrastructure, it shows up in who absorbs the gap between buildout and monetization.

In geopolitics, it shows up in logistics, insurance, and redundancy costs that persist even as headlines improve.

The market is no longer socializing delay.

It is assigning it.

That is not bearish. It is a redistribution of responsibility.

Edge Setup

Favor exposures that can absorb slippage without external support.

Avoid structures that require confidence to remain solvent.

The trigger is delay without explanation.

Economic Data: ADP employment, ISM Services PMI

Earnings: Alphabet (GOOGL), Eli Lilly (LLY), AbbVie (ABBV), Qualcomm (QCOM), Uber (UBER), Boston Scientific (BSX), McKesson (MCK), CME Group (CME), O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY), Johnson Controls (JCI), Aflac (AFL), Phillips 66 (PSX), MetLife (MET), Allstate (ALL), Yum Brands (YUM), Crown Castle International (CCI), Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH)

Overnight: Nikkei -0.78%, Shanghai +0.85%, FTSE 100 +1.40%, DAX -0.03%

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Markets are not exiting risk. They are reassigning it.

Growth stories that rely on time, protection, or financing generosity now carry a higher cost.

Structures that convert demand quickly and defend margins without narrative support retain sponsorship.

This is not a panic tape.

It is a sequencing tape.

The market is still open.

But the clock is visible.